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Ghana: Government Borrowing Costs Expected To Fall With Inflation

Story Highlights
  • Government is anticipating lower borrowing costs
  • Annual inflation fell to 23.1% in May
  • A rate cut is possible later in 2024

Ghana’s government is anticipating lower borrowing costs in the latter half of 2024, thanks to a projected decline in inflation.

This follows a significant drop in the inflation rate in May.

Inflation Down, Treasury Bill Yields Follow

  • Annual inflation fell to 23.1% in May, down 190 basis points from April.
  • Treasury bill yields decreased across the board, reflecting lower inflation risk.
  • The 91-day yield dropped the most, down 17 basis points to 24.87%.

Favorable Outlook for Borrowing

  • Analysts expect T-bill yields to continue decreasing due to lower inflation.
  • However, high government demand for funds could slow the decline.

Central Bank to Maintain Tight Grip on Inflation

  • The Bank of Ghana is expected to keep interest rates high to control inflation.
  • A rate cut is possible later in 2024, potentially in September or November.

Ghana’s Growing Debt

  • The country’s domestic debt reached GH¢278.6 billion at the end of February 2024.
  • Total public debt stands at GH¢658.6 billion, or 62.7% of GDP.

Recent Treasury Bill Auction

  • The Treasury fell short of its target in the latest auction, receiving less than the GH¢4.9 billion desired.
  • Despite the shortfall, all bids were accepted.

Upcoming Auction

  • On June 21st, the Treasury aims to raise GH¢3.56 billion through issuing new bills to refinance maturing debt.

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