- Attempting to "bisect" Ukrainian troops in Kursk.
- Possible larger Russian assault anticipated.
- Offensive launched from Korenevo, recaptured Snagost.
- Russia claims to have regained over 10% of captured territory.
Russian forces are making a concerted effort to “bisect” Ukrainian troops holding positions in Kursk, according to recent analysis from Western experts. This counteroffensive is seen as a preliminary step that could be followed by a more extensive and better-equipped Russian assault. The goal of this initial push is to disrupt and fragment the Ukrainian defensive lines in the region.
The Institute for the Study of War suggests that Russia’s strategy involves temporarily dividing the Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast. This would likely be a precursor to a more organized offensive designed to push Ukrainian forces out of the area. By cutting off the salient, Russian forces aim to advance towards the international border southeast of Snagost, complicating Ukrainian logistics and fire support closer to the border.
This development comes in the wake of Russia’s first significant offensive aimed at reclaiming territory seized by Ukrainian forces in southern Kursk during a surprise incursion over a month ago. The Russian military launched this push from the town of Korenevo, managing to recapture the nearby village of Snagost as part of their strategy to advance towards the Ukrainian border.
Russian sources indicate that Moscow has already regained over 10% of the 1,300 square kilometers captured by Ukrainian forces in the past 36 days. This progress underscores the ongoing and intense nature of the conflict in the region.
The analysis highlights the strategic importance of the Kursk area and the potential for an expanded Russian offensive. As the situation evolves, both sides are expected to continue adjusting their tactics and strategies in response to the shifting dynamics on the ground.
